Simple examples can be made to make this understandable .
Charles Brandes, a closely followed
value investor, is the chairman of Brandes Investment Partners. He
started his career in 1968 as a broker trainee.
In the late 60s and early 70s, growth
investing in the U.S. was the rage. But Brandes was not impressed with
the Nifty-Fifty mania or the Go-Go era. Nifty Fifty refers to 50 popular
blue-chip stocks that were listed on the New York Stock Exchange and
widely regarded as solid growth stocks which investors
paid extraordinarily high prices for. The Go-Go era refers to the
meteoric rise of growth stocks in the 1960s. The "go-go" stocks plunged
in the devastating market crashes that followed in the 1970s.
During that period, a chance yet
inspiring meeting occurred with Benjamin Graham who visited his office.
After meeting the father of value investing and talking with him
personally, Brandes decided that it was time to start his own business
based upon the value principles of Benjamin Graham and David Dodd. In
1974, he founded Brandes Investment Partners in San Diego. He
encapsulates smart investing by these words: "A stock price can
fluctuate a lot more than the actual value of the business it
represents. That's why it's just smart investing to take advantage of
the stock market's inconsistencies to buy businesses at very big
discounts to the their intrinsic value."
Rudy Luukko with Morningstar Canada caught up with Charles Brandes. An excerpt from the interaction is reproduced below.
Earnings growth is what
ultimately drives stock prices. So, it's interesting that you would opt
for value especially at that time with growth being en vogue. So, why is
that? What are the merits of value investing?
The merits are that it actually works
better over a long period of time than growth investing. It has a lot to
do with the behavioural aspects of the stock market and being able to
take advantage of the stock market during various times [when] prices
get much cheaper than the actual underlying value of the business that
you actually own.
At the same time there are
pitfalls associated with value investing. Can you tell us about some of
the things that you need to be cautious about in being a value investor?
Yes, and it sounds simple, it sounds
like all you need to do is look at a company and decide what it’s worth.
Then when it's trading in a public stock market cheaper than that [you
buy it]—Benjamin Graham has talked about two-thirds discount from the
intrinsic value of the business—and that’s all you do. Well, it becomes
very difficult in some ways; one of the ways is that you have to be very
patient because when you're buying companies that are out of favour,
they're not necessarily going to come into favour right away. So you
have to have an unhuman tendency to be very patient with what you're
investing in. And you also have to be aware that you cannot predict the
future. You don't know in every single case how these companies are
actually going to perform earnings wise in the future.
But if you have a good diversified
portfolio, and you've bought these companies at a big discount, then the
odds are in your favour that your portfolio over a long period of time
will work out. You could have some things that go against you and human
tendency is to be very disappointed about that on the short-term. And
you can't do that and you have to think differently than everybody else
and you have to be assured that you at least have the odds in your
favour.
There are lot of big picture
things that can happen that can effect stocks and there are some
managers that spend a lot of time looking into these macroeconomic
factors: inflation, GDP growth, and political changes. And that’s never
been a key part of your approach has it?
No, it hasn’t. However, you have to take
those things into consideration. We start off with the company itself.
We take a look at the basic economic fundamentals of that company and
then [determine] if we can see it at a discount. It doesn't really
matter at the beginning exactly what country or what industry or what
region that company is in. But then when we are determining what we
really think that company is worth we have to look at those macro
factors. So, we do that secondarily and not primarily.
Your approach, your various
mandates, they embrace all of the major equity categories. Does
bottom-up value investing work better in some markets and countries,
than others?
Work better? I don't think so because
it's so fundamental and basic. The way I look at things and the way we
do it at Brandes Investment Partners is that it doesn't matter where the
location is; it matters [about] the nature of the business and the
nature of the industry. So we found over the last 40 years that there
has been—outside North America—some better opportunities because there
is not quite as much detailed research being done. So, anywhere outside
of North America we found that to be true. I can even go into a long
explanation of why even in Europe it’s true compared to the Far East;
it's true in emerging markets, but to make a long answer short basically
it's the same.
Some value managers tend to be more concentrated in their picks than others. What's your approach?
We've been holding between 50 to 75
different companies depending on what opportunities we can find at the
moment, which in the institutional world is considered fairly
concentrated. In the mutual fund world also, you are going to see
portfolios of 100 or 200 and being deep value our portfolios are more
concentrated.
Value style is a patient style
of investing and that's been your style. If you're buying out of favour
unloved stocks they might stay like that for quite a while. The question
is, how long do you have to wait?
Anywhere from six months to one year to 10 years.
If you take the active route, as
against passive, and you put together a portfolio that’s a lot
different from the market, you are either going to do one of two things:
outperform the market, which is good, or lag the market, which is not
so good. So, there is market risk.
If you really want to do well you can't
be doing what everybody else is doing. There's only one other thing to
do well and that is to be fundamental. Because there is so much that
goes on in the investment world that is not fundamental [such as]
short-term oriented trading, derivatives, all sorts of things that are
not really fundamental to what builds new wealth. And so you can stick
to things that are fundamental, buy companies that build new wealth and
get them at reasonable prices and over a period of time you are going to
do very well.
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